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From the monthly archives:

March 2006

D Cheap levitra, eal or No Deal is clearly America's newest game show fetish. Hell, if it can bring Howie Mandel back from the throes of irrelevance, then it's obviously captured the fascination of the public. Regardless, I have to add my name to the list of people who are hooked on this new TV chew toy, but I'm convinced that my love for the show is reflective of some kind of masochistic tendencies that I must be suppressing.

Let's face it: it's pure agony watching someone turn down hundreds of thousands of dollars in hopes that they'll make more, only to watch them get burned in the end and settle for far less than the amount that they already turned down. Despite that, playing the risk/reward game with such large sums of money is enough to catch anybody's attention, and I think people in general are attracted to games of this nature (Vegas, anyone?).

Last night's show was extremely interesting because one of the contestants appeared to make the biggest bonehead move imagineable given her situation, Cheap levitra. Here was her scenario:

Deal or No DealShe had 5 suitcases left that contained the following amounts: $100, $400, $1000, $50,000, and $300,000; and the banker offered her $80,000 to quit. Deal or no deal, miss thang?

Unbelievably (to me, at least), this dumb woman, at the behest of her equally dumb husband, uttered the words the audience was just dying to hear: no deal. In a beautifully ironic fashion, the very next suitcase she opened contained $300,000, thus reinforcing the idiocy of her severely misguided decision. And of course, the audience offered up the oh-so-sympathetic and stereotypical "Ohhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh."

Don't get me started on the studio audience...They remind me of a bunch of yahoos standing around a keg chanting "Drink. Cheap levitra, Drink. Drink!" while some socially inept reject tries to pour as much beer down his gullet as possible in order to attain five minutes of superstar status, zovirax C.O.D.

A closer look at the game within the game

While watching last night's show, I had this intrinsic feeling that the woman just made a hideous decision, but at the time, I hadn't come up with a mathematical reasoning to back my feelings. It was one of those gut instinct things that you just kind of know...ya know. This morning, however, I figured I may as well look into the math a little more just to see if I was correct in my opinion.

Oh, and I sincerely hope that one of you make it on the show someday so that you can use my "Deal or No Deal Strategy Guide" to your advantage, Cheap levitra. Anyway, on with the numbers...

If you consider only the suitcases in the scenario outlined above, then there is an 80% chance you'll walk away with at least $30,000 less than the offer that's currently on the table. Then again, you always have the banker in there as the x-factor, so that argument represents a worst case scenario. For me, this isn't quite exacting enough, so now we need to look for a more defined strategy.

Enter probability theory Cheap levitra, , and more specifically, the value that you can expect to earn based on the number of remaining suitcases and their associated dollar amounts. Not surprisingly, this is astutely named - wait for it - the expected value.

At the beginning of Deal or No Deal, the contestant is presented with 26 suitcases that contain the amounts shown in the previous image, and the expected value can be calculated from the following equation:

If no cases have been opened, then this value computes to approximately $131,477.54.

You mathematicians out there will already have noticed that the expected value for Deal or No Deal is simply the arithmetic mean, or more simply, the average dollar amount remaining in the cases. Risk aside, accepting a "deal" for less than the mean should generally be regarded as a gutless, weak decision, Cheap augmentin Overnight Delivery, and the contestant should be ridiculed accordingly. However, late in the game, if a savvy contestant were to wrangle an amount out of the banker that is greater than the mean, then he or she ought to be carted off stage like Mike Ditka after the '85 Super Bowl, Cheap levitra.

Okay, so maybe that's a bit of an exaggeration, but I invite you to look at things in a purely mathematical light here. If you don't consider "luck" to be of any help to you (and you shouldn't - although I see you over there with that scratch-off lottery ticket!), then when you begin the game, your goal ought to be to "beat the mean." Obviously, the mean changes as suitcases are removed, but regardless of the mean at any given time, your goal should remain the same: beat the mean.

Let's say that you got unlucky and blew off the 13 most valuable cases on your first 13 suitcase removals. It should be abundantly clear at this point that you're not going to walk out with a wad of cash, but you should still be expecting no less than $185.85, which is the mean. Cheap levitra, If you made it to this particular point in the game and the banker were to offer you $200, then in my less-than-humble opinion, you'd be an idiot not to take it. If you prefer facts to my freewheeling opinions, then try this on: it would be a statistical mistake not to accept this offer.

So, with this in mind, let's revisit our woman from the scenario above. Remember her. She's got 5 cases left that contain the following amounts: $100, $400, $1000, $50,000, and $300,000. The banker has offered her a cool $80,000 to get the hell off stage and leave in such a way as to epitomize the phrase "ignorance is bliss."

A quick calculation reveals that the mean of the remaining amounts is $70,300, Cheap levitra. The banker's offer is $80,000, which represents roughly a 13.8% increase over the mean. This isn't Wall Street, but SELL SELL SELL.

Look a little closer at the reality of the situation. 80% of the remaining briefcases have at least $30, colchicine Online,000 less than the banker's proposed amount in them. The only guaranteed Cheap levitra, way she can do better than the proposed amount is to actually be holding the $300,000 case, because if she were to remove more cases and reveal amounts less than $300,000, the banker's offer would likely go up to compensate for the increasing mean. Keep in mind, however, that there's only a 20% probability of this happening. Oh, also keep in mind that the $80,000 offer is guaranteed. That's cash money, and all bets are off. 100% chance of success...going once...going twice...Ah, forget it.

After a closer look at the numbers behind the game, it's clear that the contestant in last night's game made a decision that was not supported by statistical analysis, Cheap levitra. Instead of the best case scenario, which she was betting on, she actually got the worst case scenario because the next case she opened contained the $300,000. Ouch.

I haven't mentioned it prior to now, but after that little slap in the face, the banker came back with a gaudy offer of $21,000, which was 63.1% greater than the new mean of $12,875. Looking back at this, I almost wonder if the banker had simply resorted to toying with this poor woman based on her previous decisions. Cheap levitra, Either way, the lady quickly wised up and accepted the overly generous $21,000, which represented a $110,477.54 loss against the starting mean of the game.

Statistically speaking, fewer than 25% of the contestants on the show can expect to perform worse than this lady, but then again, I guess now she doesn't look so bad. (This comes via standard deviation analysis, which I didn't want to bore you with)

I know it's a game show, and I know hundreds of thousands of dollars is a lot of money, and I know how thrilling it is to go for the gusto. Buy augmentin Without A Prescription, While statistical analysis does not really provide for "gut feeling" or "made for TV drama," it can serve as a guide for telling you how well you can reasonably expect to do given a set of variables.

If you've ever been to a casino, then you know it's never a good idea to bet solely on the best case scenario like the lady in our example. And as far as Deal or No Deal is concerned, I highly recommend that you never bet on the best "suitcase" scenario!

Fun: Put your statistical minds to the test by playing Deal or No Deal here.

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Cheapest abilify, I've been temporarily (permanently?) relegated from the bedroom, and since I don't feel like diving into any hard core work at the moment, I figure I may as well take this opportunity to BMAO. Blog my ass off.

Geek Speak in Less than a Week

Lately, it's been all about work, which is probably the reason why the best line I've come up with here in the last two weeks was:

my stupidity detector is buzzing like Tara Reid at an open bar

Ummm yeah.

So anyway, I'm trying to wrap up a huge gig this week, and that's all fine and dandy, 'cause I'm ready to get back to some hard core bloggin'. In fact, I've been so into everything else I've been doing that I forgot to mention that I was interviewed last Thursday for a pretty nice article that's going to run in this Sunday's Courier-Journal.

What's the article about, you ask, Cheapest abilify.

Geeks.

More specifically, the reporter's assignment was to find out (via interviews) exactly what forces are driving the explosive growth of the blogosphere and also the phenomenon that is Beauty and the Geek.

In a nutshell, zovirax Without A Prescription, I explained to her that the confluence of reality TV and internet growth has given a greater voice to the "geeks" among us, and this, in turn, has persuaded many Americans to look beyond dying social paradigms and to actually appreciate the geek within. Of course, then I realized that I had given her a pretty geeky response...I don't suppose there was any winning that one. Cheapest abilify, They went all out for the freakin article, too, by sending a photographer out to a local Starbucks to take a few unflattering mugshots of yours truly. On Sunday, when the article runs, I'll get my first look at those pics, and like any good blogger, I'll link the crap out of that article from here (assuming it gets posted to the web). Remember, I live in a tier 2 or 3 technical city, Cheap buspar Overnight Delivery, so I'm saying the odds of the story getting posted the day of (a Sunday, no less) are about 2 in 5. And I'm being generous.

Needless to say, I've given you a reason to go on through Sunday.

A little Indie love before i go...

I just checked the Indie Virus metrics a bit ago on Technorati, and all I could think was, "Man, if this were a pyramid marketing scheme, I'd be rollin phat schtacks down in the MIA."

On one hand, the Indie Virus is decidedly not a pyramid marketing scheme, but on the other hand, it's still pretty cool, Cheapest abilify. It's been interesting to watch it filter through one avenue and then have it get dispersed 3, 9, 27 times because of just one initial link. This, of course, finally led me to understand a mainstay of mathematic notation, the factorial.

Why are factorials notated like this: 3.

Because from a marketing perspective, numbers that multiply that fast are freakin exciting, Cheapest desyrel. Cheapest abilify, So there ya go, mathematicians do have a sense of humor after all.

While we're at it, here are some more links you can get excited about:

  • The Indie Virus packs its bags and heads on over to Cool Hunting, a multi-author blog that specializes in bringing cool content (and pictures!) directly to you, thus making you a more efficient time waster at your dead-end corporate flophouse.
  • Some people have a knack for writing about life's little idiosyncrasies, and these potheads (that's an inference from the March 26th post) do it so well that they deserve to catch The Indie Virus. Enjoy all five of Kill Jim's posts, as it shouldn't take you more than a couple of minutes to take it all in. Yeeeeaaaahhhhh.
  • Finally, I have to be serious for a second and say that I am always intrigued by people who are focused on their goals, and the last recipient of The Indie Virus for today is certainly that. At his financial blog, Neville speaks very candidly about his monthly earnings as well as the trials and tribulations of his internet-based businesses. Oh, Cheap buspar Online, and he manages to meet lots of biz celebs in the process, all the while conning them into posing for shameless photo-ops ;)

Alright, I'm gonna go see if I can sneak back into bed - that is, assuming the dogs haven't claimed all the open real estate. Sadly, I already know better.

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Adding uniquely-styled Flickr Buy avapro Without A Prescription, photo streams to your blog is easy, and it's just another thing you can leverage to make your blog stand out among the crowd. Today, my goal is simply to walk you through the process of creating your very own photo stream so that you can end up with something like this:

Step one: grabbing your Flickr badge

Alright, I guess now's a good time to mention that I've already assumed a couple of things here:


  • First, that you have a Flickr account

  • Second, that you have already uploaded some pictures to that account

If you said "yeah...yeah!" to the above items, then you're ready to rock.

(1) Go ahead and log in to your Flickr account, and then click on the "Your Photos" link to access the - wait for it - "Your Photos" page. Once there, direct your eyes to the rightmost column and (2) look for the "Flickr badge" link underneath the heading, "Share your photos." Click on that bad boy, and you'll be directed to a new page where you can go through the stepwise process of setting up your Flickr badge. So far so good, right.

When you reach the badge setup page, (3) the first thing you need to do is select the option to create "an HTML badge" and then click the "next" button below the pictures, Buy avapro Without A Prescription. On the next screen (which isn't worth picturing here), go ahead and use the default configuration, which is set to display "all of your public photos," and then click "next."

Now you get to choose your photo layout options. Basically, your choices will determine parameters that will be passed along in a snippet of JavaScript that you'll have to include in the source code for your site (this may sound bad, but it's dead simple). Fortunately, Cialis Pill, all of this is automated for you, so (4) choose your display options and move right along. I've included my list of recommended options below. Buy avapro Without A Prescription, Oh, and make sure that last option is "None!"

Double-check that last option to make sure you selected "None (Because you want to style it yourself)" and then click "next." On the ensuing screen, (5) simply select the two options for "no background" and "no border," and then scroll down and click "next" once more. You don't want to choose any colors because you're going to style everything - the borders around the pictures and the way in which they're presented - yourself. Stick with me here, and you'll be a Flickr maven in no time.

Flickr will now display your unstyled badge in vertical format. Underneath the pictures, you'll find the source code that you will need to snag for your blog. (6) Simply click anywhere inside the box of code, and then copy the selection, as shown below:

Step two: into your blog

If there's a part that could be considered the least bit tricky, then this is it, Buy avapro Without A Prescription. I'm going to do a two-part explanation for both WordPress and MovableType users, and if you're not using one of these platforms, then you ought to be able to infer what needs to be done because the differences between platforms are almost purely semantic.

The starting condition for all of these examples is that you've just copied the code from the Flickr badge creator...

WordPress
Venture into your WordPress administration panel and click on the "Presentation" tab. You will then be presented with two "sub tab" options, "Theme," which is selected, and "Theme Editor." Choose "Theme Editor," and then you'll have to choose the file or files in which you would like to include your Flickr photo stream. Buy avapro Without A Prescription, In order to help you choose the right file, use this checklist below:


  1. Do you want the pictures to appear in the sidebar?

  2. Do you want the pictures to appear somewhere on the main page of your site, either before or after your blog entries?

  3. Do you want the pictures to appear on a different page altogether?

If #1 is for you, then choose the file "sidebar.php." If #2 is more your speed, choose "index.php." If #3, you're kind of on your own there, but I'm going to assume that you probably know enough to choose the appropriate file.

Once your file is loaded into the WP administration panel, select where you want the pictures to reside within the code, and paste the copied Flickr code in that location. To continue with the tutorial, click here to move on to styling your Flickr badge code, clomid Side Effects.

MovableType
The default MT installation provides you with template files, and I'll be using those default names as reference points during this tutorial. For the sake of simplicity, let's assume you would like to display your photos on the main page of your site.

Log in to your MovableType installation and choose the "Templates" option from the navigational menu, Buy avapro Without A Prescription. Choose the file called "Main Index," and it will load up in a box that will allow you to edit the source code for that page. You'll likely have to scroll down a ways to get beneath the header code, and the first thing you should look for are the MovableType entry display tags that look like this:

<MTEntries>
...some code here to cycle through your posts...
</MTEntries>

Now, if you want your photos to appear before your entries, then simply paste the Flickr badge code before the first MTEntries tag. If you'd like the photos to appear after your posts, then paste the code after the closing MTEntries tag. Buy avapro Without A Prescription, Once you've pasted the code in your desired location, you're ready to begin styling.

Styling up your code

At this point, you should now have a block of code in one of your blog templates that looks like this:

<!-- Start of Flickr Badge -->
<style type="text/css">
/*
Images are wrapped in divs classed "flickr_badge_image" with ids
"flickr_badge_imageX" where "X" is an integer specifying ordinal position.
Below are some styles to get you started.
*/
#flickr_badge_uber_wrapper {text-align:center; width:150px;}
#flickr_badge_wrapper {padding:10px 0 10px 0;}
.flickr_badge_image {margin:0 10px 10px 10px;}
.flickr_badge_image img {border: 1px solid black !important;}
#flickr_badge_source {text-align:left; margin:0 10px 0 10px;}
#flickr_badge_icon {float:left; margin-right:5px;}
#flickr_www {display:block; padding:0 10px 0 10px !important; font: 11px Arial, Helvetica, Sans serif !important; color:#3993ff !important;}
#flickr_badge_uber_wrapper a:hover,
#flickr_badge_uber_wrapper a:link,
#flickr_badge_uber_wrapper a:active,
#flickr_badge_uber_wrapper a:visited {text-decoration:none !important; background:inherit !important;color:#3993ff;}
#flickr_badge_wrapper {}
#flickr_badge_source {padding:0 !important; font: 11px Arial, Buying lamictal, Helvetica, Sans serif !important; color:#666666 !important;}
</style>
<div id="flickr_badge_uber_wrapper"><a href="http://www.flickr.com" id="flickr_www">www.<strong style="color:#3993ff">flick<span style="color:#ff1c92">r</span></strong>.com</a><div id="flickr_badge_wrapper">
<script type="text/javascript" src="http://www.flickr.com/badge_code_v2.gne?count=10&display=latest&size=t&layout=x&source=user&user=18867172%40N00"></script>
</div></div>
<!-- End of Flickr Badge -->

Right now, it looks like a bit of a mess, but you'll be happy to know that most of that code is totally unnecessary (at least in my opinion). I want you to edit that Flickr badge code so that it ends up looking like this:

<!-- Start of Flickr Badge -->
<style type="text/css">
.flickr_badge { float: left; }
.flickr_badge img { width: auto; height: 100px; padding: 5px; margin: 0 10px 10px 0; border: 1px solid #000; background: #ccc; float: left; }
</style>
<div class="flickr_badge">
<script type="text/javascript" src="http://www.flickr.com/badge_code_v2.gne?count=10&display=latest&size=t&layout=x&source=user&user=18867172%40N00"></script>
</div>
<!-- End of Flickr Badge -->

Looks a little more friendly, doesn't it. In the above code, the only thing you really need to be worried about is what falls between the two <style> tags, Buy avapro Without A Prescription. Let me explain what each item does:

.flickr_badge { float: left; }

All that line does is provide for a container within which your pictures will appear, in effect setting that area apart from the rest of the code in your blog template.

.flickr_badge img { width: auto; height: 100px; padding: 5px; margin: 0 10px 10px 0; border: 1px solid #000; background: #ccc; float: left; }

Specifically, the above style declaration determines how your Flickr photos will appear on your site. In my example, your pictures will each appear 100px high with an adjusted width that maintains the original photo's aspect ratio. In addition, there will be a 1px black border around the photo that surrounds a 5px gray (#ccc) area that will effectively "frame" each picture. Buy avapro Without A Prescription, Finally, your pictures will be neatly positioned next to one another with 10px between them, as determined by the "margin" declaration and also the "float: left" property. Note: "float: left" merely tells the browser to display the photos next to one another horizontally.

Now, if you would like to style your pictures differently, simply tweak the values in that line of code. Don't want that 5px "frame" effect. Delete "padding: 5px." Want a red border with an orange frame. Change "border: 1px solid #000" to "border: 1px solid #f00" and "background: #ccc" to "background: #f90." Want a dotted border around your pictures, Buy avapro Without A Prescription. Change "border: 1px solid #000" to "border: 1px dotted #000." Want your pictures to display vertically instead of horizontally. Just remove the "float: left" property (but leave it in the surrounding ".flickr_badge" declaration). Still hungry for more CSS info. Check out the W3C's guide to CSS styling, Discount antabuse No Rx.

Hopefully you've found this tutorial helpful, because that's all you get from me. Seriously, though, if you use this technique to pimp your blog, I want to know about it. Send me a link so I can check out your awesomeness.

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On its 13th Discount zyvox, birthday (that's days, not years), The Indie Virus achieved its third significant milestone - 100+ results in Technorati's search. Let's take a look at some of the other stats and issues that have come about during week two of the very-contagious Indie Virus experiment.

Exponential Growth on the Horizon?

Although it pains me to do so, I have to open up with a rant about Technorati. When I launched The Indie Virus, Technorati said that I had 91 links from 35 sites. Today, after two weeks of coughing, linking, and spreading blerms (that's blog germs), I have...drumroll please...91 links from 35 sites.

*cough*

Okay, so somebody needs to go slap the rankings guy for me, Discount zyvox. In 4 months of Technorati slummin', I don't recall this long of a period without a rank update, but I'm sure some of you more experienced users out there will be able to set me straight on that. Regardless, I'm a metrics whore, and I really don't see why this isn't a higher priority at Technorati. You know, especially since it's what I want, and well, it's all about me.

Alright, so at the end of week one, a search for the phrase "Indie Virus" indicated 38 results. Discount zyvox, Today, that same search returns 111 results, and I'm thinking that this could be indicative of exponential growth. I've seen an awful lot more outbound links from people who've received the virus this week than I did in week one, and unless the new virus recipients react differently than everyone else who's gotten infected, then I have no doubts that week 3 will probably push us to amazing new heights, Cheap elimite Online. The accompanying graph shows the number of posts mentioning "The Indie Virus" over the past couple of weeks, so you can use that to gauge next week's progress.

What I'm Seeing

After week one, I reported that I had received 19 links from 11 sites (specifically re: the virus) since launching The Indie Virus. After week two, those numbers have ballooned to an estimated 43 links from 32 sites, and I know for a fact that Technorati has been slow on reporting some inbound linkage (read: that's a lowball).

The linkage has been good; the commentary has been good; and I've gotten 6 trackbacks in the last week alone, Discount zyvox. Of course, I've also gotten the traffic boost that you might expect from this sort of thing, but there's been a bit of a twist. The growth here at Pearsonified has been sustained instead of being just a flukish spike, and I oughta know, because I've had a couple of those since January. I am confident that I've gained some readers throughout the course of the experiment, and from a personal standpoint, that's the most rewarding thing that's happened thus far.

Hell, a Technorati search for "Chris Pearson" even turns up 189 posts at this point. Discount zyvox, I have no idea what it was before The Indie Virus, but I'm betting it was sub 50 fa sho'.

Indie Virus: Making a Difference

While I've championed the merits of The Indie Virus over the past two weeks, I still felt as though it would be a fleeting phenomenon thanks to the fact that it's only based on communication and transference between blogs. Happily, I may have been wrong about that :)

Cesar Gonzalez, who contracted the virus from Yaro, has really been smitten with The Indie Virus, and yesterday, Clomid Without Prescription, he put up a priceless entry on the DoFollow plugin for WordPress. For those of you who aren't as well-versed in the world of Search Engine Optimization (SEO) and linking, I'll try and give you a brief overview of what this is and why it's important.

The default configurations for both WordPress and MovableType contain the phrase rel="nofollow" in the commenters' links. That phrase "hides" links from search engines like Google and Yahoo!, and as a result, your 5000 comments across the blogosphere aren't doing a damn thing for your site's rankings or overall SEO, Discount zyvox. Unless, of course, you could somehow coerce all those people into removing the rel="nofollow" tag from their templates...

Now, if we take a step back for a minute and remember what The Indie Virus is about, then this should all start to make a heck of a lotta sense:

To bring exposure to lesser known blogs (especially those outside of Technorati's top 100)

Well, how do we do that. We link the bejeezuz out of one another by passing around the Indie Virus like a doobie at Woodstock, and as a concomitant bit of goodness, we do whatever we can to help out our collective status in the search engine rankings. Page rank and linkage are two HUGE components of power in the blogosphere, and now we have the ability to significantly affect both. Discount zyvox, Alright, so back to the Wordpress DoFollow plugin (download it here), which removes the rel="nofollow" tag from your comments. By removing that tag, you are basically giving your commenters some "Google juice" just by virtue of their contribution to your site - a fair deal by anyone's estimation, much less my own.

Nofollows began out of necessity for fighting off spam. Obviously, if phishers and spammers knew that they could kick SEO butt just by commenting relentlessly, they'd have half of India plugging away on every blog from here to cyber-Tahiti. I realize the potential negative here, and I understand perfectly that it would probably be bad for the blogosphere if everyone turned off their nofollows. Then again, I'm not really asking everyone to do it.., Discount zyvox.

I'm just asking you. :)

This weekend, Discount norvasc, I'm going to remove the nofollows from my comment links, and that way you'll get the Google juice you deserve when you visit my site. I'm sure I'll have to fight off some spam here and there, but screw it - the ends justify the means. You should do it, too. Discount zyvox, It'll be the first big tangible to come out of the Indie Virus. Think of it as burning your bra, weblog style.

If you have WordPress, just go and download the DoFollow plugin.

If you have MovableType, you'll have to pull up your "Individual Archive Template" and manually remove the tag rel="nofollow" from the comments portion of that template. If you can't figure it out, email me, and I'll be happy to help you out. Send your mail to d e u c e t w o ~at~ g m a i l *dot* c o m, Discount zyvox. Spammers, kiss my ass.

Ah, and if you toss your nofollows into the circular file, send a trackback to this post and let the world know that you've done so.

Oh yeah, I made a boo boo

So yeah, when I changed my design, I also changed my file structure from HTML to PHP. Oops. Discount zyvox, That little number screwed up a lot of the inbound links to the introductory post of The Indie Virus. Norvasc Pill, If you can change your links from ___post_name_here___.html to ___post_name_here___.php, that'd be huge, but if not - no worries. I'll add a link at the top of all affected posts to direct people to the new files.

Happy linking. Ya gotta love where this is goin.

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